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26/7/2014 edition

Horse Racing Win Betting on Tote Firmers

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How often do punters hear, "There's been a big go for this horse." They the punters rush to back it on the tote.

An example we have always remembered as a great betting lesson was at Morphettville quite a few years ago.

The 4YO mare Kyshnaha was first up in a restricted race run over 1200 metres. The mare had won her only other race, a Gawler maiden, five months earlier by over three lengths.

On track Kyshnaha was solidly backed and firmed from $11.00 to start at $6.50 with the bookies. Tote punters, no doubt well informed about the money coming in on track for Kyshnaha, saw the tote price flashing in front of them, indicating a tote firmer and so they joined the party by plunging money on this "good thing."

Kyshnaha won the 15 horse race. So no doubt the tote punters were pleased.

But: The best tote odds were $4.20, the lowest a paltry $3.80.

This is a prime example of why win betting tote "firmers" should not be done. You cannot accept win odds of $3.80 about a horse which has a starting price of $6.50 after being $11.00 and seriously expect to be a winner at horse racing over the long term.

Getting such massive unders on your winners is a guaranteed way of losing money over the long term. As no one gives you regular refunds on your losing bets you have to squeeze out the maximum odds you can get when you back winners, not get $3.80 when $11.00 was available.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing win betting tote firmers
The Free Top Weight horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 19/7/2014, 12/7/2014 & 5/7/2014

Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 5/7/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

On Saturday, 23rd. November, our tipster gave followers Padrino, a $51.00 winner and the Free Ratings found a $19,048.40 First Four at Eagle Farm!!

On Saturday, 16th. November, our tipster gave followers Missing Page, $15.00 winner and Ninth Legion, $7.00 winner!

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Subscribe to the free Pro-Punter Newsletter for:
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2013 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends

Horse

Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Mujadale 15.00 18.70 $111
Bernabeu 10.90 13.00 $63
Chile Express 14.00 16.00 $60
Plucky Belle 15.50 17.30 $54
Oakleigh Girl 5.50 6.50 $30
Richie's Vibe 7.70 8.50 $24
Fiorente 6.90 7.50 $18
Salon Soldier 2.70 3.20 $15
Wistful 4.40 4.80 $12
Moderate 1.90 2.15 $7.50


 

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