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28/5/2004 edition

Brisbane Winter Carnival

Betting tips

The Brisbane Winter Carnival is now in full swing. Last Saturday at Doomben there was just one favourite that won and only another two that placed. That was not surprising. The Brisbane Racing Carnival is like Duck Hunting Season. It comes around once a year. The totes and the bookies are the hunters. The punters and their money are the ducks.

The Brisbane Winter Carnival has always been very tough going for betting. Here are some reasons.

1. Bookmaker betting percentages are usually significantly worse than the totes' none too generous 120%.

2. There are big fields and many conflicting form lines.

3. The races are usually very open affairs with at least six very serious winning chances.

4. Rain often interferes. Track conditions vary from week to week which makes lining up the form that much tougher.

5. The leading Melbourne and Sydney jockeys, who are better than most of the Brisbane jockeys, add another variable when assessing horses' winning chances.

As a general rule, shortish priced favourites should be avoided. Have a look at how the favourites fared last week at Doomben. You can see how odds of around $4.00 turned out to be pretty poor value for favourite bettors.

Diamonds And Chalk
Starting price $4.20
Finished 10th. of 11

Our Fabio
Starting price $4.40
Finished 6th. of 11

With My
Starting price $4.00
Finished 5th. of 14

Star Shiraz
Starting price $3.30
Finished 2nd. of 12

Victory Highway
Starting price $4.80
Finished 10th. of 16

Sandy Joker
Starting price $4.20
Finished 2nd. of 16

Only Words
Starting price $4.60
Finished 11th. of 15

So Assertive
Starting price $4.20
Finished 1st. of 16

This edition of Punt to Win:
Brisbane winter carnival betting tips
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields, 22 May, 2004
Betting favourites in small fields, 15 May, 2004
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown, betting tips from the track
Money talks - betting tips from the track, 15 May, 2004
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 7/5/2004
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830

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