|Horse racing and
Punt to Win
Brisbane Winter Carnival
The Brisbane Winter Carnival is now in full swing. Last Saturday at Doomben there was just one favourite that won and only another two that placed. That was not surprising. The Brisbane Racing Carnival is like Duck Hunting Season. It comes around once a year. The totes and the bookies are the hunters. The punters and their money are the ducks.
The Brisbane Winter Carnival has always been very tough going for betting. Here are some reasons.
1. Bookmaker betting percentages are usually significantly worse than the totes' none too generous 120%.
2. There are big fields and many conflicting form lines.
3. The races are usually very open affairs with at least six very serious winning chances.
4. Rain often interferes. Track conditions vary from week to week which makes lining up the form that much tougher.
5. The leading Melbourne and Sydney jockeys, who are better than most of the Brisbane jockeys, add another variable when assessing horses' winning chances.
As a general rule, shortish priced favourites should be avoided. Have a look at how the favourites fared last week at Doomben. You can see how odds of around $4.00 turned out to be pretty poor value for favourite bettors.
Diamonds And Chalk
This edition of Punt to Win:
Back Tote Longshots?
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