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30/5/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, May 24.

Randwick: Track Dead
R1 $45,000 3YO Open
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Ominous
Result: second
Winning/losing margin: 1.3 lengths
Starting price: $1.75
Top fluctation: $1.80
Jockey: Darren Beadman
Trainer: John Hawkes
Winner: Chainsaw Charlie
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctation: $3.00
Tote dividends' range: $2.70 - $3.00
Jockey: Lenny Beasley
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Flemington: Track Dead
R1 $55,000 Hurdle (14 hurdles.)
Distance: 3470 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Specular
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 2.8 lengths
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctation: $3.00
Tote dividends' range: $2.10 - $2.30
Jockey: Nathan Dunn
Trainer: Tony Rosolini

R3 $60,000 3YO Open
Distance: 1630 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Finnian
Result: fourth
Winning/losing margin: 1.2 lengths
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctation: $2.60
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
Winner: Bounty Beat
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctation: $4.60
Tote dividends' range: $4.40 - $5.00
Jockey: Tony Carson
Trainer: Gary Carson

This edition of Punt to Win:
Wet track winners
Betting tips to save your money
Pro-Punter Satire News
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick, Flemington betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Victoria Park betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 23/5/2003
Punt to Win index


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