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3/1/2003 edition

Rosehill Horseracing Track
Betting Tips from the Track
Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include the worst tote price available. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Not one horse firmed 5% in the Rosehill bookmakers' betting ring on Saturday, December 28. Maybe the big punters are getting ready for New Year's Day!

Randwick, Thursday, 26th. December 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Tote Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
Murphy's Thunder
4.20
3.00
9.52
-
8/9
14.6 lengths
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
 
Lovely Jubly
2.10
1.90
5.01
-
3/7
1.1 lengths
Brett Prebble
Kevin Robinson
 
Recurring
2.10
1.90
5.01
-
4/9
4 lengths
Brent Albuino
Gerald Ryan
 
Marrakesh Express
6.00
4.20
7.14
-
3/11
3.1 lengths
Brett Prebble
Tim Martin
 
Ariante
4.20
3.00
9.52
2.90
1/13
half neck
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
 
Republic
6.00
4.60
5.07
-
5/16
1.9 lengths
Allan Robinson
Liam Birchley
 
Kesia
21.00
7.00
9.52
-
6/13
6.4 lengths
Jon Grisedale
Chris Waller
 

Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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