Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

3/6/2006 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

We have had an amazing run with fields of eight or more horses.

Here are the results from Saturday, 27th. May.

Victoria Park: Track Good

R1 $22,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Idalou
Result: first

Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctuation: $1.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Jason Lyon
Trainer: Trevor Dansie

For the first time in many months there were no fields of seven or less at the four main metropolitan Saturday meetings, not just on the 13th. May but also the 20th. May, so we have repeated some earlier information.


Here are the results from Saturday, 6th. May.

Rosehill: Track Good

R4 $80,000 3YO and upward. Quality. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Swansea
Result: second
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $3.20
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Guy Walter
Winner: No Wine No Song
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.10
Jockey: Zac Purton
Trainer: Kevin Moses


Here are the results from Saturday, 29th. April.

Caulfield: Track Dead

R1 $50,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Green Birdie
Result: third
Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.65
Jockey: Danny Brereton
Trainer: Brian Jenkins
Winner: Far Horizons
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $16.50
Jockey: Mark Flaherty
Trainer: Mathew Ellerton


Morphettville: Track Dead

R1 $50,000 2YO. Listed. Set weights.
Distance: 1050 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Cinque
Result: first

Starting price: $2.30
Top fluctuation: $2.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.40
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Hayes

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting horses with inexperienced apprentice jockeys
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Lucky Dozen horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Randwick & Moonee Valley - 27/5/2006
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill & Flemington - 20/5/2006
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 20/5/2006
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.