Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

8/2/2014 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the result for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 18th. January, 2014.

Randwick: Track Good.

R1 $85,000 3YO & UP. Fillies & Mares. Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Breakfast In Bed
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.30
Jockey: Jay Ford
Trainer: David Vandyke

R2 $85,000 3YO. Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Woodbine
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.10
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse


Flemington: Track Dead R1 - R2, Good R3 - R8.

R1 $80,000 2YO. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Nostradamus
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $1.45
Top fluctuation: $1.45
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.40
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes


Doomben: Track Good.

R1 $50,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1010 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Freezethemillions
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Glen Colless
Trainer: Matthew Dunn
Winner: Sarisara
Starting price: $7.50
Top fluctuation: $7.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $8.20
Jockey: Timothy Bell
Trainer: Rex Lipp

R2 $45,000 Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Renewed Vitality
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $2.25
Top fluctuation: $2.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.10
Jockey: Timothy Bell
Trainer: John P. Thompson

R3 $50,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Bymonashee
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Brian Smith
Winner: River Lad
Starting price: $3.80
Top fluctuation: $3.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.10
Jockey: Michael Cahill
Trainer: Natalie McCall

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting information and betting tips
The Free Fitness and Consistency horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 1/2/2014

Betting favourites in small fields: 25/1/2014
Betting favourites in small fields: 18/1/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 18/1/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.