Punt to Win

Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing



14/4/2012 edition

Betting Horses First Up From a Spell

Last week at Rosehill the well supported 4YO gelding Riva De Lago was sent out as the $3.60 favourite and finished fourth. It was first up from a spell of over four months. While at Doomben the heavily backed 4YO gelding Cape Kidnappers, first up after a spell of four months, started at the prohibitive odds of $1.80 in a field of 11 horses and finished second, beaten a length.

So we had a check through our archives and found the following interesting information. Let's have a look at the bookmaker starting price odds of some horses that resumed from a spell at Randwick on a Saturday in February 2006:

Attend: $2.90 - heavily backed from $3.60
Trainer: Bob Thomsen
Jockey: Jay Ford
Result: 5th. of 8

Flaming: $2.70 - heavily backed from $3.30
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Jockey: Danny Beasley
Result: 7th. of 10

Mnemosyne: $2.50 - solid in the betting
Trainer: John Hawkes
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Result: 4th. of 9

Racing To Win : $2.50 - heavily backed from $2.80
Trainer: John O'Shea
Jockey: Zac Purton
Result: 2nd. of 10 (beaten by over a length.)

Wild Queen : $3.70 - heavily backed from $4.40
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Jockey: Lenny Beasley
Result: 2nd. of 11 (beaten by 1.5 lengths.)

These were the shortest price horses that resumed from a spell at Randwick. Every one of them lost. Not surprising really. There is no guarantee that a horse has come back well from a spell - even the money bet on it is no useful long term guide. Plenty of horses resume from a spell and never recapture their earlier two year old, three year old, four year old form etc...

Taking short odds about horses resuming from a spell will lose you money. Following the betting odds money on horses at short odds resuming from a spell will lose you money.

Taking short odds about horses resuming from a spell is a guaranteed way to the punting poor house.

Subscribe to the free Pro-Punter Newsletter:
Free Saturday Top Four ratings, Lucky Lil's tips and betting tips.
Click here

Register for the Forum:
Where you can also access the
Free Saturday Top Four ratings and Lucky Lil's tips

in the Free Top Four Horse Racing Ratings & Betting Tips Forum.
Click here

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting horses first up from a spell
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Winning Jockey free horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields & Group 1 results: 7/4/2012 & 31/3/2012
Betting favourites in small fields & Group 1 results: 24/3/2012 & 17/3/2012
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 17/3/2012
Punt to Win index

2011 Melbourne Cup Day
Winners under $10.00
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $30 bet
Applegate 6.50 7.90 $42
Foxstar 4.00 5.00 $30
Dunaden 8.20 9.10 $27
Under The Eiffel 3.70 4.40 $21
Lamasery 4.50 5.00 $15
African Pulse 5.40 5.60 $6
Combat Kitty 3.50 3.70 $6


Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.


Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.