Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

20/11/2010 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

In a handicap, by the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more in a handicap and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a starting price of $11.00 or shorter - recently fared. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Sandown Hillside - 13/11/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Illustrious Blue
59.5kg.
10
3200
$10.00
5/10
Morphettville - 13/11/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Sky Devil
59kg.
7
1400
$10.00
10/14
Flemington - 6/11/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Trader
59kg.
1
1600
$6.50
11/13
Territory
59kg.
2
1400
$4.20
3/10
That's Not It
59kg.
10
1500
$7.00
7/10
Doomben - 6/11/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Ghetto Blaster
59.5kg.
5
1110
$4.60e.fav.
7/13
Forestreno
59kg.
4
1400
$7.50
6/13
Rosehill - 30/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Kontiki Park
59.5kg.
3
2400
$2.15fav.
3/5
Morphettville - 30/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Tramantana
60.5kg.
5
1100
$3.10fav.
1/5
Rosehill - 23/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Dealer Principal
59kg.
2
2000
$3.80
6/7
Eagle Farm - 23/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
The Jackal
60.5kg.
9
1200
$4.80
2/10
Morphettville - 23/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Dynamic Hero
60kg.
6
1600
$4.60
5/6
Morphettville - 16/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Count Cheval
59kg.
13
1200
$11.00
2/13
In The Chair
59.5kg.
8
1200
$4.40
9/14
Morphettville - 9/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Saddler's Story
59kg.
2
2500
$2.80fav.
1/7
Morphettville - 2/10/2010
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Sandhill Prince
60kg.
4
1600
$4.00
5/8
Very Discreet
59.5kg.
3
1100
$2.00fav.
3/8
 

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting first up horses
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The "Lay the Favourite" Trifecta horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: Sandown Classic & Guineas Day - 13/11/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: Cantala Stakes Day - 6/11/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: Victoria Derby Day - 30/10/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 2/11/2010
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.