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21/4/2007 edition

Horse Racing Betting Strategies

Are plunge horses winning betting tips from the race track? Does it pay to follow the money?

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or otherwise it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include as an example the the SuperTab tote dividend. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (20%) to $4.00 (25%) it will qualify. You can also check tables of betting prices and what their percentages are at Odds calculator.

Randwick - Sydney Cup Day
Saturday, 14th. April, 2007

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm SuperTab
Tote
Finish
Rose Of Sharon
7.00 4.80 6.54% --- 2/14
Damien Oliver (jockey) Patrick Webster (trainer)
Hot Danish
3.20
2.60 7.21% 2.80 1/12
Tim Clark Les Bridge
Camarilla
1.90
1.70 6.19% --- 3/12
Darren Beadman John Hawkes
Blutigeroo
3.60
2.80 7.93% --- 5/13
Damien Oliver Colin Little
Moonee Valley
Saturday, 14th. April, 2007

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm SuperTab
Tote
Finish
Top Tier
7.00 5.00 5.71% 4.90 1/7
Daniel Moor (jockey) Matthew Hyland (trainer)
Randwick - AJC Australian Derby Day
Saturday, 7th. April, 2007

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm SuperTab
Tote
Finish
Newton's Rings
7.00 5.00 5.71% --- 5/5
Patrick Murphy (jockey) Jeff Englebrecht (trainer)
Arlington
8.00
5.50 5.68% --- 2/10
Zac Purton Graeme Rogerson
Just Mambo
3.20
2.70 5.79% --- 4/9
Glen Boss John O'Shea
Bentley Biscuit
6.00 4.60 5.07% 5.30 1/9
Nash Rawiller Gai Waterhouse
Camarilla
4.00 3.30 5.30% 3.40 1/11
Darren Beadman John Hawkes
Perfect Drop
5.50
4.20 5.63% --- 2/14
Zac Purton Guy Walter
No horse firmed 5% in the bookmakers' betting ring at Caulfield.
 

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.