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21/11/2003 edition

Weight And Class Horses

Each week in Handicapping tips - weight and class we have been updating the results of horses that carried 59kg. or more the previous Saturday in metropolitan races. We have culled the number of results updated by only including horses that started at $11.00 or shorter with the bookmakers. In other words, the horses with 59kg. or more given some sort of realistic chance of winning by the market.

These horses are usually the class horses in their race.

However because punters tend to shy away from many horses carrying 59kg. or more it is possible that plenty of these horses can actually be good value.

Here are some recent results since the start of October.
They are nothing short of phenomenal:

November 15:
Victory Ranger 59kg. 1st. $7.00
Fair Embrace 59.5kg. 1st. $5.50
This Manshood 60.5kg. 1st. $3.30
Barabba Road 59kg. =3rd. $2.25 favourite (four runners)

November 8:
Mr. Murphy 61.5kg. unpl. $9.50

November 1:
This Manshood 60.5kg. 1st. $4.00

October 25:
Yes Boss 59kg. 2nd. $7.00
Al Megdam 59kg. unpl. $4.80

October 18:
Stoway 59.5kg. 3rd. $4.60 favourite
Shogun Lodge 61kg. 1st. $10.00

October 11:
Brief Embrace 61kg. 3rd. $8.00
Make Me A Miracle 60kg. 3rd. $5.00 (seven runners)
Century Kid 59kg. 2nd. $6.60
Toast Of The Coast 59kg. unpl. $6.50

October 4:
Bomber Bill 60.5kg. 1st. $11.00
Scenic Peak 60.5kg. unpl. $8.00
Masindor 59.5kg. 3rd. $2.70 favourite (seven runners)
Before Too Long 59kg. 1st. $2.00 favourite
Pentastic 59kg. 2nd. $6.50

Summary:
19 runners
7 winners
Outlay backing each runner $20 for the win: $380
Return: $856
Profit: $476
Profit on turnover: 125%

If we were into flogging racing systems made by fiddling with past results we'd definitely be onto something here. And of course, we'd have kept all this very quiet. After all, here is a profit of 125% without any manipulation of the past results. Anyway, it's something for you to play around with. You may well be able to devise a betting system that works for some time by introducing a few logical elimination rules.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Bet for value and win
Simple selection method - 125% recent profit on turnover
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 14/11/2003
Punt to Win index


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