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21/11/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Flemington on Saturday, November 15.

Irish Loup - checked on jumping
Lyn's Money - held up in the straight
Valda Merceda - held up in the straight
Precise Timing - checked at the start
Reclaim - jumped away awkwardly
Con's Amy - couldn't get a run in the straight
Alicified - raced into a dead end in the straight when making good ground
Al Megdam - missed the start
Navy Beat - badly held up and inconvenienced in the straight
Danewin Chief - no luck in running, forget it went around
Nordic Emperor - slow out
Lord Of Lords - checked off heels early in the straight
Charlie Bub - held up in the straight, strong finish, should have won

Sandown Lakeside:
Shinkansen - held up early in the straight
Karamazou - no run most of the straight
Super Impressive - held up in the straight
Taos Pleasure - worked to lead
Recurring - checked off heels at 900, checked at 150, should have won
Sir Dex - wide run
Delzao - crowded for room and held up in the straight, cost it the race
Infinite Grace - checked at the 1000
Debrief - badly held up and shuffled back in the straight
Archave - flattened, ignore
Cool Azz - badly held up in the straight, checked off heels
Leone Chiara - raced erratically and badly messed up the start

This edition of Punt to Win:
Bet for value and win
Simple selection method - 125% recent profit on turnover
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 14/11/2003
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830

You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

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