Punt to Win
Wide Barrier Horse Racing Winning Bets
One of the biggest betting myths in horse racing is that wide barriers mean a horse "can't win". It's so commonly accepted by many racing media tipsters and many punters who take it as a self evident truth. You even hear leading trainers dismiss their horses' chances because of wide barriers.
But in reality it's quite in correct that a horse "can't win" because of the barrier.
1. The most common barrier statistics you get are misleading. There is always a horse in barrier one. That's not the case with barrier 12.
2. If a horse gets back in the field a wide barrier is no disadvantage.
3. If a horse leads or races on the pace a wide barrier is not a major disadvantage if the horse has early speed. Particularly if there are not many leaders drawn on its inside.
4. Many racing systems automatically eliminate horses drawn wider than barrier nine.
5. Because horses from wide barriers are shunned by systems bettors and the general betting public you are more likely to get value backing those horses.
6. Do not dismiss a horse you like because of its wide barrier.
7. You'll often find horses winning at big double figure odds from say barriers 17 and 18 in fields of 18 that would be under $10.00 if they had a "good" barrier.
This edition of Punt to Win:
2008 Melbourne Cup Day
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