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28/11/2003 edition

Randwick Wet Track Betting

Favourites fail:

Have a look at how the favourites fared at the rain affected Slow rated track at Randwick last Saturday:

Destiny's Dream $1.80 into $1.70, 5/6
Our Jin Mah $2.60 into $2.40, 6/7
Goldwina $2.90 into $2.60, 3/8
Marchioness $4.60 into $3.90, 8/8
Guerilla $5.50 into $4.00, 5/8
Gallant Son $4.00 into $3.20, 3/9
Southern Rose $8.00 into $4.40, 3/11
Sunshine Sam $2.60 into $2.40, 2/11

Now that is a sorry tale. Eight well supported betting ring favourites for only four placegetters and not one winner.

Betting becomes very dangerous when track conditions dramatically change. Most recent racing in Sydney has been on Good rated tracks with an occasional Dead rated track. Along comes a genuine rain affected track and favourites' backers were completely wiped out.

We haven't checked any stats. But it would be interesting to see the strike rate of favourites and their loss on turnover when the track rating is very different to that of recent weeks. Just from general observation we suspect it would be worse.

We know our results are not quite as good, and dismissed the Randwick meeting when the track was given as Slow on Saturday morning.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Free horseracing betting systems
Track rating changes - beware and save your money
Betting after a Carnival

Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 21/11/2003
Punt to Win index


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