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28/11/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, November 22.

Randwick: Track Slow
R1 $45,000 2YO Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Destiny's Dream
Result: fifth
Winning/losing margin: 7.4 lengths
Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctation: $1.80
Jockey: Bernadette Cooper
Trainer: Paul Sutherland
Winner: More Than Hugs
Winning/losing margin: 2 lengths
Starting price: $7.50
Top fluctation: $7.50
Tote dividends' range: $5.70 - $5.70
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: Bede Murray

R2 $45,000 3YO Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Our Jin Mah
Result: sixth
Winning/losing margin: 5.8 lengths
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctation: $2.60
Jockey: Mitchell Bell
Trainer: Patrick Webster
Winner: Mufti
Winning/losing margin: 2.8 lengths
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctation: $6.00
Tote dividends' range: $4.10 - $4.30
Jockey: Corey Brown
Trainer: John Hawkes

This edition of Punt to Win:
Free horseracing betting systems
Track rating changes - beware and save your money
Betting after a Carnival

Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 21/11/2003
Punt to Win index

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