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28/11/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Flemington on Saturday, November 22.

Randwick:
Svenska - wide run
Destiny's Dream - wide run, lame
Kingside - badly held up in the straight
Viking Tor - badly held up rounding the home turn and in the straight
Sunshine Sam - no clear run on the home turn or the straight, reluctant to take a very narrow opening, should have won
Dial Tones - missed the start by four lengths, checked off heels on the home turn

Caulfield:
Coraticum - checked on jumping
Choreograph - shuffled back to last on the home turn
Noble Win - tightened after the start, checked at the 200
Chairman's Choice - wide throughout
Sizzie 'Em - nearly fell early in the straight
Umagold - held up on the home turn

This edition of Punt to Win:
Free horseracing betting systems
Track rating changes - beware and save your money
Betting after a Carnival

Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 21/11/2003
Punt to Win index


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Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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