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30/4/2005 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at big odds. You can select these horses for your own betting systems. That is also just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first fours.

Please note:
This information can be very useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from recent Melbourne and Sydney metropolitan horse racing meetings.

Randwick, April 23:
Another Adam
Class Act

Caulfield, April 23:
Jiang
Braequest
Sydney Express
Rockford Bay
Furaat
Lots Of Swing

Rosehill, April 16:
Regal Gaze
Pizza
Dakaflight
November Dreaming
Gilded Youth

Flemington, April 16:
Breezy
Cianara
Pure Harmony
Tall Timbers
Barabba Road
Homewrecker
Recapitalize
Douro Valley

This edition of Punt to Win:
Identifying false favourites
Converting strike rates to betting odds
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Betting tips from the track: Randwick, Rosehill and Flemington
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/4/2005
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Caffe Francais 16.30 26.40 $101
Banned 11.10 18.05 $69
Connoisseur 7.10 12.00 $49
Squad 5.70 10.65 $49


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.