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31/7/2010 edition

Big Steel $47.50 Fantastic Top Two Value Winner!!

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Saturday, 31 July, 2010
The highlight has to be the win of The Big Steel, $47.50, a Top 2 rated horse as two horses in our Top Four were scratched. We rated 23 races from Rosehill, Caulfield and Doomben for 15 Top Four winners.

Here are Top Four winners with bookmaker or tote odds of $4.00 or better available. If the horse won after R4 we'll indicate with R5+, otherwise the horse won in the first four races of the day:

The Big Steel $47.50 at Caulfield
Sacred Orders $19.20 at Caulfield (R5+)
Altered Boy $11.00 at Rosehill (R5+)
Big Spirit $7.40 at Caulfield
We Betcha $7.00 at Rosehill
Shoot Out $6.50 at Caulfield (R5+)
Anyways $6.10 at Doomben (R5+)
Meet George $6.00 at Doomben (R5+)
Ocean Challenger $5.50 at Caulfield
Flying Minstrel $4.80 at Doomben
Empire Place $4.40 at Rosehill
Supreme De Lago $4.40 at Doomben (R5+)

First Fours and Trifectas:
There were plenty of creative opportunities. At Caulfield R4 with a Top 2 rated horse at $47.50 taking it with the rest of the field in a trifecta involved an outlay $210 with $1 units.
The SuperTab declared trifecta dividend was $70,953.30. So a $21 outlay returned a dividend of $7,095. Of course we know the more money placed on a winning TAB combination the smaller the payout, so we would have made very small outlays on a number of TABs and/or seen which bookies would bet a trifecta with us and pay tote odds.

Saturday, 3 July, 2010
We rated 16 races from Rosehill and Moonee Valley for 13 Top Four winners. We left alone the Sunshine Coast meeting.

Here are Top Four winners with bookmaker or tote odds of $4.00 or better available. If the horse won after R4 we'll indicate with R5+, otherwise the horse won in the first four races of the day:

Niptious $20.50 at Moonee Valley (R5+)
King Carnage $10.00 at Moonee Valley (R5+)
Rue Maple $5.10 at Moonee Valley
Agister $4.20 at Rosehill
Viking Turf Belle $4.20 at Moonee Valley
Face Off $4.00 at Moonee Valley

First Fours and Trifectas:
With small fields at Rosehill and short priced horses winning most races at Moonee Valley or filling the places like in R6 when we had a $20.50 winner, it was not much of a day for value trifectas and first fours.

Saturday, 10 July, 2010
We rated 21 races from Randwick, Flemington and Eagle Farm for just ten Top Four winners on a tough day.

Solid Billing $7.50 at Eagle Farm (R5+)
Milanesa $6.50 at Eagle Farm
Miss Lily Rose $5.50 at Flemington
Big Spirit $4.90 at Flemington
Viva Las $4.80 at Randwick (R5+)
Decibella $4.60 at Eagle Farm

First Fours and Trifectas:
Some collects available from the ratings included:
$3,267.20 first four (Randwick R5, top 6.)
$1,063.30 trifecta (Randwick R5, top 6.)

Saturday, 17 July, 2010
We rated 19 races from Rosehill, Caulfield and Doomben for just seven Top Four winners on a day where sensible form analysis did not hold up. That's racing.

Here are Top Four winners with bookmaker or tote odds of $4.00 or better available. If the horse won after R4 we'll indicate with R5+, otherwise the horse won in the first four races of the day:

African Prince $11.00 at Rosehill
Oopsy Doopsy $8.00 at Rosehill
Diggersanddealers $6.50 at Caulfield
Tobouggie Woogie $5.10 at Doomben
Aspiran $4.50 at Doomben (R5+)
Horses just outside the Top Four winning at decent odds included Castellani $17.30 in Doomben R6 and Imperial Command $16.60 in Caulfield R5.

First Fours and Trifectas:
Some collects available from the ratings on a tough day included:
$1,681.00 trifecta (Rosehill R4, top 6.)

Saturday, 24 July, 2010
We rated 21 races from Randwick, Moonee Valley and Eagle Farm for 15 Top Four winners.

Here are Top Four winners with bookmaker or tote odds of $4.00 or better available. If the horse won after R4 we'll indicate with R5+, otherwise the horse won in the first four races of the day:

Diazling $10.00 at Moonee Valley
Break Card $7.50 at Randwick (R5+)
Sir Kingsford $6.20 at Eagle Farm (R5+)
Yummy $6.00 at Eagle Farm
Red Ferments $5.50 at Eagle Farm (R5+)
General Purple $4.80 at Eagle Farm (R5+)
Mangonui $4.60 at Moonee Valley

First Fours and Trifectas:
With plenty of small fields, short priced winners and place getters it was not a great day for value trifectas and first fours.

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Recent months:
The ratings resume with a bang 30/6/2010
The ratings take a break after two weeks in May 31/5/2010
$1,557.40 Box 4 winning first four 30/4/2010
Rock Classic $18.00 plus $5,975.50 Top 5 winning first four 31/3/2010
$2,986.30 top four winning first four bet 28/2/2010
Oopsy Doopsy $31.00 winner - $9,524.90 top five winning first four bet 31/1/2010
Danzylum $17.90 winner - $3,945.80 top four winning first four bet 31/12/2009
Uncle Jan $46.50 winner PLUS $47,105 banker first four 30/11/2009
Efficient - $32.00 horse racing winner value bet 31/10/2009
$11,384.40 winning UniTab top five first four 30/9/2009
$7,275.40 winning top five first four 31/8/2009
$7,157.10 winning top five first four 31/7/2009
$7,026.60 winning top four first four 30/6/2009

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Please note:
We also provide guidelines to new members on using our betting information for first fours and trifecta betting.

In our newsletters here we have at times indicated how some first fours and trifectas could have been obtained. However on racedays some judgement and skill are needed for this.

For example the same betting method will not work each race, such as boxing selections, or taking the top horse as a standout to win. Some races will also need to be avoided because the odds are not there.

Even with good information playing trifectas and first fours is not a licence to print money. Intelligent use of the information and a lot of discipline is required.

While there can be substantial collects for relatively small outlays there can also be long runs of outs with various betting methods used.


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