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6/12/2002 edition

Betting Adelaide Favourites
Beware the Odds

The starting price bookmaker betting markets for Saturday Adelaide racing are around 130% to 140% compared with 110% for Saturday Sydney racing. We all know that backing every favourite returns a long term loss. However, because of the very tight betting ring odds in Adelaide, betting favourites is considerably worse value for punters compared with Sydney.

Have a look at these tables showing how favourites went in Adelaide over the last two Saturdays. The starting price odds for these horses are considerably shorter than for comparable favourites at Sydney. SuperTab tote odds are provided for a comparison.

Morphettville
Saturday, 23rd. November 2002
Horse
Starting Price
SuperTab
Tote Odds
Finish
Finniss D'Or $3.00   3/7
Moongara $3.20 $2.00 1/7
Elephant Rock $3.80   4/10
La Paloma $3.00   7/8
Cubiton $4.00   5/9
Kolase $2.60   7/13
Beau Gallant $1.60   3/12
Morphettville
Saturday, 30th. November 2002
Horse
Starting Price
SuperTab
Tote Odds
Finish
Half Edgy
$1.45
$1.50
1/7
Get Up
$1.40
  
2/6
Telestich
$3.20
$3.30
1/12
Devil In Disguise
$2.20
  
3/10
Moongara
$2.20
  
4/8
Empress Waltz
$3.50
$3.00
1/8
Bo Best
$3.50
  
2/13
Dalny Road
$3.50
  
8/11

$10 bet on each selection at starting price returned the following stats:
Bets 15
Winners 4
Strike rate 26.67%
Outlay $150
Return $113.50
Loss $36.50
Loss on turnover 24.33%

The results are even worse for tote punters:
Outlay $150
Return $98
Loss $52
Loss on turnover 34.67%

This edition of Punt to Win:
Learn from these betting comments
Betting favourites - some bookmaker and tote statistics
Form analysis and handicapping tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 29/11/2002
Punt to Win index

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