Punt to Win

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6/12/2002 edition

Rosehill Horseracing Track
Betting Tips from the Track
Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include the worst tote price available. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Rosehill, Saturday, 30th. November 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Tote Finish Beaten/winning margin
1.8 lengths
Corey Brown
John Hawkes
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
Puzzle Book 8.00 5.00 7.50 - 3/12 3 lengths
Danny Beasley
Graeme Rogerson
Pearly Kings 4.80 3.50 7.74 3.70 1/14 short head
Darren Beadman
John Hawkes
Solitary Soldier 6.00 4.60 5.07 - 4/13 1.7 lengths
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse

This edition of Punt to Win:
Learn from these betting comments
Betting favourites - some bookmaker and tote statistics
Form analysis and handicapping tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 29/11/2002
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

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