Punt to Win
Horse Racing Betting Tips
Betting on maiden races
Maiden races tend to be very ordinary betting affairs.
You'll invariably find a horse that has failed to win a race from five or more starts being sent out the favourite, even an odds on favourite. It's not our idea of successful betting on horses to take short odds on a horse that is contesting a maiden because it has become a proven non-winner.
Look at Monday, 23rd. May, 2011 at Wangaratta as an example. at Echuca. In the first race of the day, a maiden run over 1000 metres, 4YO gelding Incoming Call was sent out the $3.30 favourite. Incoming Call had already raced 11 times for of course not one win. In the field of nine Incoming Call finished fifth, beaten by nearly eight lengths.
It's also not uncommon to see a favourite in a maiden from a satisfactory barrier like five not having the speed to obtain a position and even with a leading jockey being wide throughout. Of course this ordinary conveyance will then badly weaken and fail to run a place, even as an odds on favourite.
1000 metres races - weight matters
It's quite common to be told by the racing media that weight does not matter in 1000 metres races. For example you might find a classy six year old horse resuming with 60kg. over 1000 metres after a spell of six months. Most likely the horse will show good early speed, but don't be surprised if it weakens out of the race.
Seriously, it is expecting a bit much of a six year old or seven year old with top weight of 60kg. to win first up. If the horse's record indicates that it is superior on dry tracks and it is resuming on a Slow track, then you are really asking for trouble backing it first up with 60kg., even if it is sent out as a favourite.
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2010 Melbourne Cup Day
|Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.|