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11/6/2011 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

Plus Group 1 Horse Racing Results

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here is the Group 1 horse racing result from Saturday, 21st. May, 2011.

The $500,000 Group 1 Weight for Age Doomben Cup was run over 2020 metres at Doomben. The winner by a long head from My Kingdom Of Fife was 8YO gelding Scenic Shot, trained by Daniel Morton and ridden by Shane Scriven. Scenic Shot was steady in the bookmaker betting ring and started at $6.50. There were two $3.70 equal favourites. They were:
1. 5YO entire Glass Harmonium which finished third by 0.4 lengths. Glass Harmonium was trained by Michael Moroney and ridden by Hugh Bowman.
2. 4YO gelding Shoot Out which finished fifth by 1.5 lengths. Shoot Out was trained by John Wallace and ridden by Corey Brown.


On Saturday, 21st. May, 2011, there were no small fields of seven or less horses at the horse race meetings held at Doomben, Rosehill, Flemington or Morphettville.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting tips - wagering on maiden & 1000 metres races
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Big Odds Winners Lightly Raced horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields plus Group 1 horse racing results: 4/6/2011
Betting favourites in small fields plus Group 1 horse racing results: 28/5/2011
Betting favourites in small fields plus Group 1 horse racing results: 21/5/2011
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 21/5/2011
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.