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12/12/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Flemington on Saturday, December 6.

Randwick:
Lasting Faith - inconvenienced at the 250 - lost ground and momentum
Plywood - jumped awkwardly, then checked off heels
Dolphicate - held up rounding the home turn and early in the straight
Monte Warrior - wide run
Sir Canny - badly held up in the straight
Majestic Fiesta - missed the start
Periscope - held up early in the straight

Sandown Hillside:
Nuts About Jugah - inconvenienced at the 700, pulled up sore
Doppio - wide run
Wyngrove - held up and shuffled back early in the straight
St. Vivant - badly hampered
Unguarded Moment - inconvenienced at the 200

This edition of Punt to Win:
Staking losses into profits
Jockey watch - Chris Munce

Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick, Sandown betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 5/12/2003
Punt to Win index


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Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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