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13/9/2002 edition

Trifecta Betting Tips

Make trifecta money from "good things"

Last Saturday Victory Vein won in Sydney and paid $1.40 for the win on the tote. Yet trifecta dividends for a dollar ranged from $236 on SuperTab to $257 on the New South Wales tote. Absolutely amazing. Now that sure beats making 40 cents profit from a one dollar bet.

How is it possible to make that sort of money from "good things" winning? A look at the tote prices might give a clue. Here are the final approximates for the race from SuperTab:

Number and Name Win Place
1 Victory Vein $ 1.40 $ 1.20
2 Sunday Joy $ 7.80 $ 1.60
3 Salameh $47.80 $ 7.50
4 Highest $27.40 $ 3.40
5 Royal Purler $24.90 $ 4.40
6 Chatelaine $ 7.70 $ 1.70
7 Soprana $25.70 $ 4.50
8 Ms Bowie $49.00 $ 6.00
9 Stratica $66.20 $ 8.50
10 Lavishly $18.70 $ 3.10
11 Royal Siren $ 239 $41.40

The trifecta was 1 - 5 - 10.

Chatelaine and Sunday Joy were both strongly favoured to place. Most punters would have them in their trifecta combinations. They both missed out.

The key then is to bet differently from most punters. If you want to take a "good thing" as a standout to win then you must save money and eliminate combinations taken by most punters.

However, that should only be done based on form. If you gave no other horses than Chatelaine and Sunday Joy much chance of placing, then it follows you should leave the race alone.

Taking the popular way - Victory Vein to win with Sunday Joy and Chatelaine to place and you'd be lucky to make a dollar. The outlay would have been $90 for a nice profit. However, this method loses long term because you are including many poor value combinations and combinations with virtually no chance of coming in.

The way to treat a race with a "good thing" as a standout bet for a trifecta and give yourself a chance of making money long term is by finding horses to run second and third that you are believe are realistic place chances and most other punters will have dismissed.

Our Pro-Punter ratings for the race had Lavishly equal third rated and Royal Purler fifth rated, only about two lengths from the winner, Victory Vein. That was an excellent leg up for any of our members who use "good things" as trifecta standouts with other sensible combinations for second and third that are dismissed by most punters.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Flemington racetrack farce
Trifecta betting tips
Carnival racing favourites, value betting odds
Spring Carnival horses and betting tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Flemington, Doomben plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 6/9/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Mr. Chevy 39.60 45.30 $570
Sceneraja 8.40 13.70 $530
Rendelsham Star 9.30 11.40 $210


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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