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13/9/2002 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 69kg. (70 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more fared last Saturday. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Randwick 7/9/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Half Hennessy
60kg.
1
1400
$3.00
1/9
Power Of Pegasus
59kg.
4
2400
$4.80
4/9
Master Pom
62kg.
5
1800
$14.00
9/10
Universal Prince
62kg.
5
1400
$11.00
3/12
Freemason
59kg.
7
1400
$51.00
11/12
Flemington 7/9/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Cyclades
59.5kg.
8
2000
$11.00
5/13
Mr. Prudent
59kg.
5
1700
$101.00
9/16
Doomben 7/9/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Startell
60.5kg.
2
1200
$7.00
3/12
Another five horses at Doomben had apprentice claims which reduced their weight to below 59kg. No horses at Morphettville were handicapped with 59kg. or more.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Flemington racetrack farce
Trifecta betting tips
Carnival racing favourites, value betting odds
Spring Carnival horses and betting tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Flemington, Doomben plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 6/9/2002
Punt to Win index


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