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14/7/2007 edition

Trifecta Wagering and Staking Betting Tips

When you have a horse at big odds to win in a trifecta, do you realise there are times when it is better to eliminate some trifecta combinations and instead use the money saved to back that horse at big odds straight out for the win?

Here is why.

Some time ago we used the example of when Zagalia, who paid up to $29.90, won the Queensland Oaks in a field of 16 fillies.

You would have expected a big trifecta payout. But instead the result was a trifecta which paid as low as $518 on the New South Wales tote, $698 on SuperTab and $899 on UniTab. Now compare that with the fifth race at Rosehill on the same day:

There were only 14 runners in that field. Equal second $5.00 favourite Isla Kristina won the race. Lismore $16.00 and Beryl $9.00, finished second and third - easy enough to find for a trifecta by going a little wide. That trifecta paid between $699 and $708. That was because $3.20 favourite Lasting Faith finished fourth.

Trouble was when Zagalia $29.90 won, the $2.00 favourite The Jewel ran second and $6.50 third favourite, Penny Gem ran third.

Very short priced tote favourites wreck trifectas, particularly when they win or finish second. Many punters base their trifectas around short priced favourites. They would have had The Jewel as a roving banker with possibly even the field. That sort of strategy must lose over the long term.

When taking a horse at long odds to win a trifecta it can often pay to eliminate the numerous combinations that could be taken with short priced horses and use that money saved to back the longshot straight out for a win.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Trifecta wagering and staking betting tips
Get those betting odds
The Speed Winners Ratings horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill & Sandown Lakeside
Betting tips from the track: Randwick Kensington & Sandown Hillside
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 30/6/2007
Punt to Win index


2006 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Typhoon Zed 21.50 28.90 $74
Delta Blues 17.50 20.20 $27
Lyrical Bid 16.50 19.00 $25
Brom Felinity 13.30 15.70 $24
Dance Hero 12.60 14.90 $23
Southern Courage 16.20 18.30 $21

 

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