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16/12/2006 edition

Trifecta Betting Tips

Making trifecta money punting "good things"

Let's have a look at an example from our archives which shows how you can make money betting trifectas on horse racing taking an odds on favourite as your stand out to win.

In the example we are looking at, Victory Vein won and paid $1.40 for the win on the tote. Yet trifecta dividends for a dollar ranged from $236 on SuperTab to $257 on the New South Wales tote. Absolutely amazing! Now that sure beats making 40 cents profit from a one dollar win bet.

How is it possible to make that sort of money from "good things" winning? A look at the tote prices might give a clue. Here are the final approximates for the race from SuperTab:

Number and Name Win Place
1 Victory Vein $ 1.40 $ 1.20
2 Sunday Joy $ 7.80 $ 1.60
3 Salameh $47.80 $ 7.50
4 Highest $27.40 $ 3.40
5 Royal Purler $24.90 $ 4.40
6 Chatelaine $ 7.70 $ 1.70
7 Soprana $25.70 $ 4.50
8 Ms Bowie $49.00 $ 6.00
9 Stratica $66.20 $ 8.50
10 Lavishly $18.70 $ 3.10
11 Royal Siren $ 239 $41.40

The trifecta was 1 - 5 - 10.

Chatelaine and Sunday Joy were both strongly favoured to place. Most punters would have them both in their trifecta combinations. They both missed out.

The key then is to bet differently from most punters. If you want to take a "good thing" as a standout to win, then you must save money and eliminate combinations taken by most punters for second and third.

However, that should only be done based on form. If you gave no other horses than Chatelaine and Sunday Joy much chance of placing, then it follows you should leave the race alone.

Taking the popular way - Victory Vein to win with the field for second and third and using dollar units the outlay would have been $90 for a nice profit this time.

However, this method loses long term because you are including many poor value combinations and combinations with virtually no chance of coming in.

The way to treat a race with a "good thing" as a standout bet for a trifecta and to give yourself a chance of making money long term is by finding horses to run second and third that you believe are realistic place chances and most other punters will have dismissed.

There's absolutely no point "saving" by including the second and third tote favourites in all your trifecta combinations because you will lose badly on the race if they come in plus you will lose long term because of all these extra "poor value" combinations you take along with just about every other trifecta bettor.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Making trifecta profits betting "good things"
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Top Three Ratings Points horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill & Caulfield
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 9/12/2006
Punt to Win index


2006 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Typhoon Zed 21.50 28.90 $74
Delta Blues 17.50 20.20 $27
Lyrical Bid 16.50 19.00 $25
Brom Felinity 13.30 15.70 $24
Dance Hero 12.60 14.90 $23
Southern Courage 16.20 18.30 $21


 

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