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19/9/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, September 13.

Rosehill:
Skittles - wide run
Red Hannigan - held up early in the straight
Archave - badly held up in the straight
Private Steer - passed fit to race, pulled up lame
Forum Floozie - badly held up in the straight
My Czech Chick - held up and shuffled back in the straight, no luck
Miss Goldie Horn - no run in the straight
Nothin' Leica - held up till the 200

Moonee Valley:
Special Harmony - held up and shuffled back on the home turn
Happy Strike - held up on the home turn
Oamaru Storm - no run the entire straight, shuffled back
Bulkhead - held up on the home turn
Cool Trent - held up on the home turn and early in the straight
Tru Glow - wide run
Makybe Diva - held up on the home turn, searched for a run in the straight
Storm Attack - held up on the home turn, searched for a run in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Comment - Group 1 Manikato Stakes
Race analysis - this bet can't lose
Moonee Valley - good luck or hard luck racetrack?
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Gai Waterhouse, John Hawkes and Private Steer
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 12/9/2003
Punt to Win index


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.