2/11/2010 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Saturday, 16th. October, 2010.
On this day the $2,600,000 Group 1 Caulfield Cup, run over 2400 metres, was held at Caulfield horse racing track and won by the Gai Waterhouse trained Descarado, ridden by Chris Munce. Descarado started at $17.00 and paid best tote odds of $19.20.

Caulfield - Caulfield Cup Day: Track Heavy.

R2 $100,000 3YO. Colts & geldings. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Skilled
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Mark Zahrar
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Mr Chard
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.80
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: Dean Lawson

R5 $200,000 Caulfield Sprint. Group 2. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Soul
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.80
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Set For Fame
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.10
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Randwick: Track R1-4 Dead, R5-8 Good.

R2 $70,000 3YO & UP. Rating 80. Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Stand To Gain
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $4.20
Jockey: Brenton Avdulla
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Mr Edison
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.60
Jockey: Daniel Ganderton
Trainer: Bart Cummings

R4 $100,000 3YO & UP. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Maluckyday
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.95
Top fluctuation: $1.95
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.90
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes

R5 $100,000 3YO. Listed. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Buffering
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $1.75
Jockey: Glen Colless
Trainer: Robert Heathcote
Winner: Celts
Starting price: $11.00
Top fluctuation: $13.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $12.90
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Peter Snowden

Eagle Farm: Track Heavy.

R4 $45,000 Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Upper Class
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.70
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: John P. Thompson
Winner: Essington
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $3.10
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.80
Jockey: Stathi Katsidis
Trainer: Darryl Hansen

This edition of Punt to Win:
Melbourne Cup betting tips, facts and figures
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Melbourne Cup horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: Cox Plate Day - 23/10/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: Caulfield Cup Day - 16/10/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: Caulfield Guineas Day - 9/10/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 9/10/2010
Punt to Win index

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