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2/11/2010 edition

Horse Racing Betting Odds
Facts & Tips

Betting facts from Moonee Valley, Saturday, 23rd. October.

The main race of the day, the $3,000,000 Group 1 Weight for Age W. S. Cox Plate was comfortably won by the hot odds on favourite, 4YO horse So You Think, trained by Bart Cummings and ridden by Steven Arnold. So You Think was solid in the bookmaker betting ring and started at $1.50. Zipping, trained by Robert Hickmott and ridden by Nicholas Hall, and Whobegotyou trained by Mark Kavanagh and ridden by Michael Rodd both started at double figure odds and finished second and third respectively by 1.25 and 1.5 lengths. Second favourite and the only other horse that started under double figure odds, firming from $8.50 to $7.50, was the Gai Waterhouse trained 4YO mare More Joyous. Ridden by Nash Rawiller, More Joyous finished fifth in the field of 10, beaten by nearly five lengths. The John Wallace trained 4YO gelding Shoot Out, ridden by Corey Brown, finished fourth. Corey Brown was wearing the riding silks of regular jockey Stathi Katsidis, who tragically passed away four days before the raced, aged only 31.

Punters betting favourites had a losing day. Apart from So You Think there were just two other winning short priced favourites. They were:

1.
4YO mare Black Caviar, which firmed from $1.50 to start at $1.40 in the $300,000 Group 2 Weight for Age A. J. Moir Stakes (registered name) run over 1200 metres. That made it seven wins from seven starts for this mare. Black Caviar was ridden by Luke Nolen and trained by Peter G. Moody.
2.
5YO gelding Precedence which firmed from $2.35 to start at $2.05 in the $250,000 4YO & UP Group 2 Moonee Valley Gold Cup (registered name) run over 2500 metres. Precedence was ridden by Blake Shinn and trained by Bart Cummings who is trying to qualify this gelding for the Melbourne Cup. That win gave Bart Cummings a double at the meeting. No other trainer or jockey was involved in a winning double.

There were three winners which started at double figure odds. They were:

1. 3YO colt That's Not It
eased to start at $20.00 in the $150,000 3YO Group 3 Australia Stakes. Best tote odds was $19.10. That's Not It was ridden by Chris Symons and trained by Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra
2. 6YO horse Sound Journey which eased to start at $14.00 in the $200,000 Group 2 Crystal Mile. Best tote odds was $18.70. Sound Journey was ridden by Michael Rodd and trained by Mark Kavanagh.
3. 6YO mare Lady Lynette which also eased to start at $14.00 in the last race of the meeting, a $150,000 Mares Group 3 race over 1600 metres. Best tote odds was $13.00. Lady Lynette was ridden by Nicholas Hall and trained by David & Scott Brunton.


Betting facts from Caulfield, Saturday, 16th. October.

The main race of the day, the $2,600,000 Group 1 Caulfield Cup, run over 2400 metres, was held on a very Heavy track. It was won by 4YO gelding Descarado, which was steady at $17.00 in the bookmaker betting ring. This gelding was ridden by Chris Munce and trained by Gai Waterhouse. Best tote odds were $19.20. 5YO gelding Harris Tweed, which also started at $17.00, finished second by a length. Harris Tweed was ridden by Brad Rawiller and trained by Murray & Bjorn Baker. The $4.60 favourite, last year's Melbourne Cup winner - 5YO horse Shocking - firmed from $5.00 and finished fourth. Shocking was ridden by Michael Rodd and trained by Mark Kavanagh.

Punters betting favourites had close to a break even meeting with three winners from 10 favourites. They were:

1. 3YO filly Alotta Spur which won the opening race starting at $4.80. It was ridden by Luke Nolen and trained by Peter G. Moody.
2.
3YO colt Retrieve which firmed a touch from $2.20 to $2.10 and won the $125,000 3YO Group 3 Norman Robinson Stakes over 2000 metres. This colt was ridden by Mark Zahra and trained by Peter Snowden.
3. 4YO mare Varenna Miss, which was the fourth emergency in the final race of the day, managed to get a start against the Fillies and Mares and won by a half head from Flying Tessie. Varenna Miss was solidly backed from $2.60 to start at $2.20. Varenna Miss was ridden by Steven King and trained by Tony Noonan.

Three winners started at double figure odds. Apart from the Caulfield Cup winner, Descarado, the other horses were:

1.
3YO filly Dizlago. It started at $10.00. Best tote odds were only $9.80. Dizlago was ridden by Nicholas Hall and trained by Lee Freedman.
2. 4YO mare Culminate which started at $12.00 in the Tristarc Stakes, a $180,000 Mares Group 2 race. Best tote odds were $12.70. Culminate was ridden by Michael Walker and trained by Darren Weir.

Michael Walker rode a winning double. His other winner was 7YO gelding Ginga Dude which firmed a little from $8.00 to start at $7.50 in a $125,000 Group 3 Handicap run over 2000 metres. Best tote odds were $8.90. Ginga Dude was trained by Graeme Boyd. The Luke Nolen and Peter G. Moody jockey and trainer combination teamed up for two winners. The two winners were:

1.
3YO filly Alotta Spur which won the opening race starting at $4.80.
2. 4YO mare Set For Fame which was set for its first up win over 1100 metres in the $200,000 Group 2 Caulfield Sprint. Set For Fame firmed from $5.00 to start at $4.40 second favourite in the field of seven and easily won by two lengths.


Betting facts from Caulfield, Saturday, 9th. October.

The main race of the day, the $1,000,000 3YO Group 1 Caulfield Guineas, run over 1600 metres, was won by Anacheeva, which was steady at $6.00 in the bookmaker betting ring. This colt was ridden by Luke Nolen and trained by Peter G. Moody. Run For Levi, which started at $31.00, led and was only beaten by a long neck. Run For Levi was ridden by Craig Newitt and trained by John P Thompson. The two $5.00 equal favourites were disappointing. They were:

1. Toorak Toff, which finished a well beaten fourth by nearly four lengths. Toorak Toff was ridden by Damien Oliver and trained by Rick Hore-Lacy.
2. Ilovethiscity, which finished a well beaten tenth by 7.5 lengths. Ilovethiscity was ridden by Glen Boss and trained by Grahame Begg.

Punters betting favourites had a break even meeting with four winners from 10 favourites. They were:

1.
Black Caviar which firmed a touch from $1.90 to start at $1.80. It was ridden by Luke Nolen and trained by Peter G. Moody.
2.
So You Think which started at $1.40 and bolted in the $400,000 Group 1 Weight for Age Yalumba Stakes run over 2000 metres by over three lengths. This 4YO horse was ridden by Steven Arnold and trained by Bart Cummings.
3. More Joyous was solidly backed from $2.50 to start at $2.30 in the $350,000 Group 1 Toorak Handicap over 1600 metres. More Joyous, ridden by Nash Rawiller and trained by Gai Waterhouse, beat $61.00 outsider We're Gonna Rock by a long neck, ridden by Michael Rodd and trained by Mark Kavanagh.
4. Avenue was well backed from $4.40 to start at $3.80 in the final race of the meeting. This 4YO mare, ridden by Luke Nolen and trained by Peter G. Moody, completed a great day for this jockey trainer combination - three wins from the nine races.

As we have seen, the two odds on favourites, Black Caviar and So You Think, both won. There were another three favourites that started below $3.00. More Joyous won.

The losing favourites were:

1. Drenalin which firmed from $3.00 to start at $2.70. It was ridden by Glen Boss and trained by Robert Smerdon and finished a well beaten tenth of 14.
2.
Precedence which firmed from $2.70 to start at $2.60 and finished third to Linton in the Herbert Power Stakes, beaten by less than a length. Precedence was ridden by Blake Shinn and trained by Bart Cummings.

Steven Arnold, Nash Rawiller and Nicholas Hall all rode doubles. This means in the nine races there were only four winning jockeys!

1. Steven Arnold won on Sleepers in the opening race. This 3YO colt, trained by Lee Freedman, firmed from $13.00 to start at $11.00. Arnold's other winner was $1.40 good thing So You Think.
2. Nash Rawiller won on the John O'Shea trained Solar Charged which started at $7.50. Rawiller's other winner was More Joyous.
3. Nicholas Hall
won on Berringama which started at $19.00 and paid best tote odds of $23.40. Berringama, the biggest odds winner of the meeting, was trained by Brian Cox. Nicholas Hall's other winner was Linton in the $200,000 Group 2 Herbert Power Stakes. This 4YO gelding, trained by Robert Hickmott, firmed a touch from $5.00 to start at $4.60.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Melbourne Cup betting tips, facts and figures
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Melbourne Cup horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: Cox Plate Day - 23/10/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: Caulfield Cup Day - 16/10/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: Caulfield Guineas Day - 9/10/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 9/10/2010
Punt to Win index


2009 Melbourne Cup Day
Winners
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Strawberry Field 21.00 32.60 $116
Right Fong 13.70 17.00 $33
Majestic Music 9.80 13.00 $32
Common Interest 9.20 12.00 $28
She's Got Gears 10.00 12.60 $26
Flying Tessie 11.00 13.40 $24
Shocking 9.80 11.00 $12


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