12/1/2008 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 5th. January.

Randwick: Track Good

R1 $25,000 3YO and upward. Maiden. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Driveshaft
Result: fourth
Starting price: $3.40
Jockey: Matthew Palmer
Trainer: Tim Martin
Winner: Xavier
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.30
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Bart Cummings

R2 $60,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Soho Secret
Result: first
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $3.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.80
Jockey: Jeff Lloyd
Trainer: David Payne

R3 $60,000 3YO and upward. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Bedtime Secrets
Result: second
Starting price: $2.45
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Gwenda Markwell
Winner: Petreni
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.50
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Bede Murray

R4 $60,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Rst90. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Super Smudge
Result: first
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $2.90
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.60
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R5 $60,000 3YO and upward. Rst87. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Les Roses
Result: third
Starting price: $2.40
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Danewin Lodge
Starting price: $91.00
Top fluctuation: $91.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $36.40
Jockey: Kathy O'Hara
Trainer: Bob Thomsen

Sandown Lakeside: Track Good

R1 $56,000 Rs0mw. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: We Wonder
Result: second
Starting price: $2.70
Jockey: Vlad Duric
Trainer: Ian Hutchins
Winner: Moderato
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $7.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $9.00
Jockey: Jamie Mott
Trainer: Mathew Ellerton

Morphettville: Track Good

R1 $20,000 Rst86. Handicap.
Distance: 2043 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Jeune's Edge
Result: third
Starting price: $2.80
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Hayes
Winner: Regal Dash
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.50
Jockey: Adrian Patterson
Trainer: David Halliday

This edition of Punt to Win:
Fifteen horse racing betting tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Get those betting odds
The Consistent Winners horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: 5/1/2008
Betting favourites in small fields: 29/12/2007
Betting favourites in small fields: 22/12/2007
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: 5/1/2008
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: 29/12/2007 & 22/12/2007
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 22/12/2007
Punt to Win index

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