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15/5/2010 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Saturday, 8th. May, 2010. On this day the $300,000 Group 2 A. D. Hollindale Stakes was held at Gold Coast horse racing track.
There were no race fields of seven or less horses on this day at the horse racing meetings we are covering for "Betting Favourites in Small Fields."

Here are the results from Saturday, 1st. May, 2010.

Hawkesbury Guineas Day
- Track Good

R2 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Pinwheel
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.50
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Peter Snowden


Caulfield: Track Dead

R1 $70,000 3YO & UP. Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Ocean Challenger
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.80
Jockey: Darren Gauci
Trainer: Darren Magro
Winner: Eau De Joie
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.30
Jockey: Jason Maskiell
Trainer: David Hayes

R4 $70,000 2YO. Open. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Miss Elvee
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.80
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Robbie Griffiths
Winner: Smokin' Joey
Starting price: $6.50
Top fluctuation: $6.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.70
Jockey: Chris Symons
Trainer: Lee Freedman

Saturday, 24th. April, 2010. On this day the $425,000 Group 1 Sydney Cup was held at Randwick horse racing track.
There were no race fields of seven or less horses on this day at the horse racing meetings we are covering for "Betting Favourites in Small Fields."

This edition of Punt to Win:
The Goblin's Wishing Well Horse Racing Betting System
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Lucky Eleven horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 8/5/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 1/5/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 24/4/2010
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 8/5/2010, 1/5/2010 & 24/4/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 24/4/2010
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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