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18/10/2014 edition

Group 1 Horse Racing Results

Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.

Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.

So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.

Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?

Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.

Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Caulfield on Saturday, 11th. October, 2014.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Caulfield: Track Good.

R6: $400,000 Caulfield Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 2000 metres.
Field size: 12
Winner: Fawkner
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Robert Hickmott
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $5.50
Bookmaker starting price: $5.50
Best tote: $5.40
Second: Criterion - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: David Payne
Bookmaker starting price: $16.00
Favourite: Dissident

Finish: 6th.
Jockey: Ben Melham
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
Bookmaker starting price: $4.00 favourite

R7: $400,000 Toorak Handicap. Group 1. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 15
Winner: Trust In A Gust
Jockey: Brad Rawiller
Trainer: Darren Weir
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $5.50
Bookmaker starting price: $4.60 favourite
Best tote: $4.40
Second: Speediness - beaten by 0.75 lengths
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Colin Scott
Bookmaker starting price: $19.00

R8: $500,000 Thousand Guineas. Group 1. 3YO. Fillies. set weights.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 10
Winner: Amicus
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $11.00
Bookmaker starting price: $10.00
Best tote: $11.00
Second: Traveston Girl - beaten by 0.75 lengths
Jockey: Damian Browne
Trainer: Tony Gollan
Bookmaker starting price: $15.00
Favourite: Lumosty

Finish: 8th.
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
Bookmaker starting price: $2.80 favourite

R9: $1,000,000 Caulfield Guineas. Group 1. 3YO. Set weights.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 13
Winner: Shooting To Win
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: Peter & Paul Snowden
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $8.00
Bookmaker starting price: $7.50
Best tote: $7.70
Second: Rich Enuff - beaten by 0.3 lengths
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Trainer: Ken Keys
Bookmaker starting price: $1.80 favourite

This edition of Punt to Win:
"This horse can't win because of the barrier."
The Free Tipster Longshot horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 11/10/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: 4/10/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: 28/9/2014 & 26/9/2014
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 11/10/2014

Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/10/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 27/9/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 27/9/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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