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18/10/2014
edition
Group 1 Horse Racing Results
Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.
Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.
So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.
Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?
Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.
Here is the Group 1 horse racing result from Flemington on Saturday, 4th. October, 2014.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)
Flemington: Track Good.
R7: $500,000 Turnbull Stakes. Group 1. 4YO & UP. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 2000 metres.
Field size: 16
Winner: Lucia Valentia
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Kris Lees
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $9.00
Bookmaker starting price: $8.50
Best tote: $8.90
Second: Lidari - beaten by 0.5 lengths
Jockey: Steven Arnold
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
Bookmaker starting price: $18.00
Equal Favourite: Puissance De Lune
Finish: 4th.
Jockey: Brad Rawiller
Trainer: Darren Weir
Bookmaker starting price: $5.50 equal favourite
Equal Favourite: Happy Trails
Finish: 14th.
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Trainer: Paul Beshara
Bookmaker starting price: $5.50 equal favourite
Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Randwick on Saturday, 4th. October, 2014.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)
Randwick: Track Good.
R7: $500,000 Epsom Handicap. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 15
Winner: He's Your Man
Jockey: Joao Moreira
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $6.00
Bookmaker starting price: $5.50
Best tote: $6.80
Second: Royal Descent - beaten by 0.1 lengths
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $6.50
Favourite: Toydini
Finish: 14th.
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes
Bookmaker starting price: $5.00 favourite
R8: $400,000 Flight Stakes. Group 1. 3YO. Fillies. Set weights.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 7
Winner: First Seal
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: John P. Thompson
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $2.50
Bookmaker starting price: $2.30 favourite
Best tote: $2.60
Second: Winx - beaten by 3 lengths
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $2.70
This edition of Punt to Win:
"This horse can't win because of the barrier."
The Free Tipster Longshot horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 11/10/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: 4/10/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: 28/9/2014 & 26/9/2014
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 11/10/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/10/2014
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 27/9/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 27/9/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present
You
Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short
priced tote favourites.
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