Punt to Win

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18/11/2006 edition

Betting Tips
That Everyone "Knows"

When everyone confidently "knows" something in horse racing you can just about be guaranteed that it won't happen, or you will get under the odds about that horse winning.

The Cox Plate was meant to be a match race between El Segundo and Racing To Win. Sure enough, neither won. El Segundo finished second while Racing To Win finished down the track.

The race was won by the 2003 winner, Fields Of Omagh who paid the excellent odds of $22.00. Fields Of Omagh had also finished second in the 2004 Cox Plate and third last year. But everyone "knows" that a 9YO has never won the Cox Plate so the 9YO Fields Of Omagh was ignored in the betting.

The fact that Fields Of Omagh had got better with every one of his three runs in from a spell, finishing only 1.5 lengths away in Group 1 company at his start before the Cox Plate, was conveniently ignored.

Everyone knew that the Japanese trained 6YO entire Delta Blues could not win the Melbourne Cup. His outstanding third in the Caulfield Cup, a key form lead up race was completely dismissed. Why? Because everyone knew that his Australian jockey in the Caulfield Cup, Nash Rawiller, had been replaced by a Japanese hoop, Yasunari Iwata.

The amount of bagging this jockey got by uninformed people in the racing media, which of course influenced the punters, was amazing. Yasunari Iwata rode a brilliant race in the Melbourne Cup and of course Delta Blues won and paid over $20.00.
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Cox Plate, Melbourne Cup betting on tips that "everyone knows"
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Winning Jockeys horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: Flemington & Randwick
Betting favourites in small fields: Victoria Derby Day
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: 11/11/06 - Flemington & Randwick
Betting tips from the track: 7/11/06 - Melbourne Cup Day
Betting tips from the track: 4/11/06 - Victoria Derby Day
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/11/2006
Punt to Win index

2006 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Typhoon Zed 21.50 28.90 $74
Delta Blues 17.50 20.20 $27
Lyrical Bid 16.50 19.00 $25
Brom Felinity 13.30 15.70 $24
Dance Hero 12.60 14.90 $23
Southern Courage 16.20 18.30 $21


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