19/9/2009 edition

Horse Racing Betting Odds
Facts & Tips

Betting facts from Moonee Valley.
Saturday, 12th. September.

Craig Williams rode a treble. The winners with bookmaker starting prices were:

R1 My Edition $6.00
R6 Nicconi $3.20 favourite
R9 Philda $7.50

Three kilos claiming apprentice Jason Maskiell rode a double. The horses were:

R3 Cerberus Gal $6.00
R5 Eagle Falls $1.90

Punters backing favourites snared the winners of four consecutive races. The winners with bookmaker starting prices were:

R5 Eagle Falls $1.90
R6 Nicconi $3.20
R7 Whobegotyou $2.40
R8 Zarita $3.50

A $10 all up bet on these favourites at starting price turned into a payout of $510.72.  

Betting fact from Flemington.
Saturday, 5th. September.

Punters backing favourites are on an absolute winning spree. After only a few weeks ago backing an amazing six winners from the eight races on Saturday . favourites punters backed five winners from the nine races. But what is even more amazing is the other four favourites all finished second!! When have we last had every favourite either win or finish second?

Here are the details from Flemington in race order:

Avenue
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctuation: $2.50
Second
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Carrara
Starting price: $3.8
Top fluctuation: $4.00
First
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: Tony Vasil

Light Vision
Starting price: $4.80
Top fluctuation: $5.00
Second
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

Trustus
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctuation: $3.10
Second
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: Fran Houlahan

Cats Whisker
Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.80
First
Jockey: Steven King
Trainer: Mark Kavanagh

Black Caviar
Starting price: $1.45
Top fluctuation: $1.45
First
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Typhoon Tracy
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.70
Second
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Swift Alliance
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $4.20
First
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Speed Gifted
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
Second
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Lee Freedman

Betting fact from Caulfield
Saturday, 29th. August.

Two jockeys dominated the meeting.

Danny Nikolic got a treble winning in R2, R4 and R6 with:

Sparkling Partiva - $17.00
Starspangledbanner - $4.80 favourite
Mic Mac - $3.10 favourite

Dwayne Dunn got a double winning in R3 and R7 with:

Jaalippy - $12.00
First Command - $4.40 favourite

By contrast, at Rosehill not one jockey rode a double.

Betting fact from Moonee Valley.
Saturday, 22nd. August.

Punters backing favourites had their best day of the year with an amazing six winners from the eight races. Favourites won the first four races and to put that final  nail in the coffin of the bookies, favourites won the final two races of the day. It was a disaster day for the bookies with most suffering large losses.

The totes of course couldn’t care less. Unlike the bookies, the tote wins every race, no matter how popular the winning horse, no matter how much money was plunged on the winner. The tote just reduces the odds it pays you to guarantee a big win on turnover from the race. That’s also why it’s totally absurd when you hear representatives of the Racing Industry or the TABs bleating about the bookies not paying enough turnover tax and comparing bookies’ turnover tax with the turnover tax of the TABs.

The bookmaker and the tote are completely different business models. A bookmaker can have a million dollars wagered on a race and lose a lot of money if the heavily backed favourite wins. The tote can have a million dollars wagered on that same race and will always guarantee a nice profit – about $160,000. The more money wagered on the winner the less the tote decides to pay everyone who backed it, no matter how generous the odds might have looked when you backed it. Now imagine if a bookie tried to do that to you!!

The winning horses at Moonee Valley in race order were:

Black Caviar
Starting price: $1.20
Top fluctuation: $1.22
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Coronation Diva
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $4.00
Jockey: Ben Melham
Trainer: Jason Warren

Pass Me By
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.80
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Carrara
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.15
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Tony Vasil

Secret Flyer
Starting price: $2.45
Top fluctuation: $2.50
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: Mark Young

Eagle Falls
Starting price: $2.15
Top fluctuation: $2.30
Jockey: Jason Maskiell
Trainer: David Hayes

Betting fact from Caulfield.
Saturday, 15th. August.

At Caulfield Steven King not only rode a treble but the winners were in three successive races, 5, 6 & 7. They were Raffaello, $14.00, Predatory Pricer, $9.50 and Cats Whisker, $6.50. Just a $10.00 treble all up bet at starting price returned $8,645.00!

This edition of Punt to Win:
How useful are horse racing form lines?
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Moonee Valley Winners horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 12/9/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 5/9/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 29/8/2009
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 12/9/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: 5/9/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: 29/8/2009
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 29/8/2009
Punt to Win index

2008 Melbourne Cup Day
Winners
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds

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