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22/11/2002 edition

Rosehill Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include the worst tote price available. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Rosehill, Saturday, 16th. November 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Tote Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
Desert Dane
4.60
3.50
6.83
3.60
1/11
1 length
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
 
Oh She Said
8.50
5.50
6.41
-
5/13
1.9 lengths
Chris Munce
Peter Staunton
 
Laetitia 6.50 4.60 6.36 - 10/12 16.9 lengths
Robert Thompson
Guy Walter
 
Britt's Best 3.20 2.50 8.75 - 3/16 1.8 lengths
Justin Sheehan
Max Lees
 

This edition of Punt to Win:
Should you follow the money and back a plunged horse on the tote?
Be a form detective - and win!
Betting tips from Sandown last Saturday
Confident trainers' tips - will that flop improve?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Sandown plunge horses
Money talks - Eagle Farm plunge horses
Money talks - Cheltenham plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 15/11/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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