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25/4/2009 edition

Wet Track Horse Racing Betting Tips

Minimising risks is all important

We've sure had some Heavy track horse racing recently. Some horse racing betting advice is timeless. So with that in mind we looked through our archives of past articles to find what we have written about betting on Heavy tracks and from 2004 found this excellent, detailed analysis of a Caulfield meeting held in April that year, when the horse racing was on a genuinely Heavy track.

We hope you find it useful. Here it is:

R1 2YO Open. Handicap. 1200 metres.
$3.20 favourite Cargo Cult finished second, beaten 1.8 lengths. No wet track form. The $5.00 winner Classiconi also had no wet track form.

R2 3YO Fillies. Open. Handicap. 1400 metres.
$4.20 favourite Songs Of Vienna finished a well beaten fifth. She had one win from two starts on a Heavy track - a Moe maiden. She was unplaced in her only Slow track run. $4.40 second favourite Andiamo won. This lightly raced filly had raced once on a rain affected track, a Heavy track for a close second, four lengths ahead of the next runner.

R3 3YO Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap. 1400 metres.
$2.25 favourite Valedictum finished a well beaten sixth. He had never raced on a Slow track. The gelding had a Bendigo maiden win as his only race result on a Heavy track. The $13.00 winner Jakodae was first up from a spell. He had never raced on a track worse than Dead in his four starts.

R4 Open. Handicap. 1400 metres.
$4.00 favourite Hardy Steele finished second. He had won his only start on a Heavy track - a Saturday city meeting, and had a win and a third from his two starts on Slow tracks. The $7.00 winner, Studebaker, was first up. He had never raced on a track worse than Dead in his 10 starts.

R5 Open. Handicap. 1200 metres.
$4.40 equal favourite Cahuita won. He had never raced on a Heavy rated track, but did have two wins from four starts on Slow tracks. The other $4.40 equal favourite, Blessum, finished a well beaten seventh. In 25 previous starts this 5YO gelding had only raced once on a Heavy track and was unplaced. Blessum had also raced three times on Slow tracks for a city win and a third.

R6 Open. Handicap. 1700 metres.
$4.20 favourite Walk On Ice finished a well beaten 10/11. The 7YO gelding had six wins and three placings from 12 Heavy track starts. The $6.50 winner Wild Classic, had a win and a second from two Heavy track starts. However the win was a Colac Class 4. The gelding also had three wins and two placings on Slow tracks including a city win at Sandown.

R7 Open. Handicap. 2020 metres.
$4.00 favourite Action Shot finished a well beaten 10/11. This 3YO gelding had only one win to his credit from nine starts. That was in July last year - a 2YO Open at Flemington by 3.5 lengths on a Slow track. He had raced twice on Heavy tracks for an unplaced run and a well beaten third in a Ballarat maiden.The $11.00 winner, 4YO gelding Schumpeter, in his 26 starts had never raced on a Heavy rated track. From three starts on Slow tracks he had a Sandown win and a second two years earlier. How do you possibly select him?

R8 Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap. 1600 metres.
$4.20 favourite Harley Ma had raced twice on Heavy tracks for two seconds. However her most recent second in August the previous year was more than two lengths behind the winner in a Sandown midweek 3YO fillies open. The $4.60 winner Bella Vichy, had the poor strike rated of just four wins from 28 starts. But she had won her only start on a Heavy track - six days earlier in a good quality mares race at Flemington.

What conclusions can we draw?
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Wet track horse racing betting tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Special offer: Free racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Get those betting odds
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 18/4/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 11/4/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 4/4/2009
The "Why Didn't I Back It" Massive Winning Odds horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: Doncaster Handicap Day - 18/4/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: Golden Slipper Day - 4/4/2009
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/4/2009
Punt to Win index

2008 Melbourne Cup Day
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Juggle The Books 26.00 37.70 $117
Viewed 37.10 46.50 $94
Origami Miss 13.80 20.30 $65
Hips Don't Lie 12.20 17.00 $48
Danzylum 14.20 17.00 $28


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