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13/12/2008 edition

There's a Winner in Every Horse Race

To bet or not to bet, that is the question!

Of course there's a winner in every race, but that doesn't mean that punters should place a bet in every race. That is the huge advantage that punters have. To decide what races you want to have a wager in, what horses you want to stake, what minimum odds you are prepared to stake, and how much you are prepared to stake on them.

There are so many races that are poor betting affairs and just about guaranteed long term losing wagering propositions, no matter how good a punter you are. Here is an example. Imagine:

1. The horse racing track is rain affected, rated Heavy.

2. Every one of the 12 runners last starts was on a Good rated track. That makes assessing current form very tough when track conditions vary so dramatically.

3. Only a few of the runners have started on a Heavy rated track. None of them have had more than two starts on a Heavy rated track.

4. Very few horses have raced at the distance of the race.

You should leave such a race alone. There's always another race. There's always another race day. No punter should feel any compulsion to bet in any particular race or on any particular race day.

When races are held in Melbourne full of unraced 2YOs with no trial form, absolutely no exposed form at all, if punters as a group refused to bet in such races you'd quickly find they would no longer be held.

Then you'd get races where all the runners had at least some exposed form so you would be able to make some intelligent assessments rather than just pure guesswork should you have a bet.

Talk about punters being their own worst enemies at times.

This edition of Punt to Win:
There's a winner in every horse race
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Get those betting odds
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 6/12/2008
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 29/11/2008
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 22/11/2008
The Wide Barrier horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: 6/12/2008
Betting favourites in small fields: 29/11/2008
Betting favourites in small fields: 22/11/2008
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 22/11/2008
Punt to Win index

2008 Melbourne Cup Day
Best Bookmaker Win Odds
Best Tote Odds


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Juggle The Books 26.00 37.70 $117
Viewed 37.10 46.50 $94
Origami Miss 13.80 20.30 $65
Hips Don't Lie 12.20 17.00 $48
Danzylum 14.20 17.00 $28


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