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Punt to Win
Make Money Wagering Wide Barrier Horses
One of the biggest betting myths in horse racing is that wide barriers mean a horse "can't win". It's so commonly accepted by many racing media tipsters and many punters who take it as an evident truth. You even hear leading trainers dismiss their horses' chances because of wide barriers.
But in reality of course it's not correct that a horse "can't win" because of the barrier.
Why, only on February 21 Swiss Ace won the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate at Caulfield over 1100 metres from barrier 18 in the field of 18. Official top fluctuation betting odds from the bookmakers was $41.00. You can bet your last dollar that if Swiss Ace had a "good barrier" the odds would have been much, much shorter.
1. The most common barrier statistics you get are misleading. There is always a horse in barrier one. That's not the case with barrier 12. Even less with barrier 18!
2. If a horse gets back in the field a wide barrier is no disadvantage. Barrier one on a turning trackwith a short stright like Moonee Valley is probably more of a disadvantag.
3. If a horse leads or races on the pace a wide barrier is not a major disadvantage if the horse has early speed. Particularly if there are not many leaders drawn on its inside.
4. Many racing systems automatically eliminate horses drawn wider than barrier nine.
5. Because horses from wide barriers are shunned by systems bettors and the general betting public you are more likely to get much better value backing those horses.
6. Don't dismiss a horse you like because of its wide barrier.
7. Indeed, there's something to be said for backing any half decent horse starting from barrier 18 and wider after scratchings. Bacause the racing media and so many punters automatically say these horses "can't win" because of the barrier you can just about be guaranteed betting value.
This edition of Punt to Win:
2008 Melbourne Cup Day
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