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30/11/2008 edition

Selective Punters Value

Saturday, 29 November, 2008

We rated 16 races. There were three winners on top and five winners in the top two on a day when some odd results happened.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
True Tales $4.00 at Moonee Valley in a field of seven.

Second rated winners:
Obvious Choice $6.00 at Randwick Inner in a field of eight.

Third rated winners:
Jacaranda Charm $18.40 at Eagle Farm.

Longshots:
Members who look for longshots in the ratings may have had a few dollars on these winners:

Insistence $37.30 at Eagle Farm
Chevaya $20.00 at Morphettville

Trifectas/first fours:

Moonee Valley R6 $1,436.20 first four (top rated horse winning, 2nd. to 4th. in the ratings.)
Morphettville R6 $943.70 first four (top 5.)

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Saturday, 22 November, 2008

We rated 15 races. There were five winners on top and ten winners in the top four. However due to plenty of small fields there was not that much value around.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Arlington $4.00 at Randwick in a field of eight.

Second rated winners:
Itsamonty $5.10 at Sandown in a field of six.

Third/fourth rated winners:
Ratatat Lass $14.00 at Randwick in a field of ten.

Trifectas/first fours:
There were plenty found in the ratings but little value due to many small fields.

Randwick R7 $1,626.60 first four (top 5)

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Saturday,
15 November, 2008

We rated 11 races. There were three winners on top, five winners in the top two and eight winners in the top four.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Chasm $4.20 at Sandown.
Captain Bax $4.20 at Sandown.
Theophorus $3.70 at Rosehill in a field of nine.

Second rated winners:
Arezzo $7.00 at Cheltenham in a field of nine.

Trifectas/first fours:
Here are some that were found in the ratings.

Sandown R3 $1,817.50 first four (top 5)
Sandown R5 $1,474.10 first four (top rated winning, 2nd & 3rd in top 3, 4th. in top 6.)
Sandown R5 $292.80 trifecta (top 3.)
Cheltenham R4 $102.30 trifecta (top 3.)

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Saturday,
8 November, 2008


We rated 18 races. There were three winners on top, seven winners in the top two and 12 winners in the top three.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Gilded Boots $5.90 at Cheltenham.
Seesawing $4.60 at Doomben.

Second rated winners:
All Silent $6.50 at Flemington.

Third rated winners:
Borsha's Mark $10.30 at Doomben.
Kylie $8.00 at Randwick in a field of 10.

Trifectas/first fours:
Here are some that were found in the ratings.

Flemington R5 $4,932.30 first four (2nd. rated winning, 2nd - 4th. in the ratings.)
Cheltenham R7 $2,796.20 first four (top rated winning, 2nd - 4th. in the next 5 rated.)
Doomben R4 $1,238.50 first four (top rated winning, 2nd - 4th. in the next 5 rated.)
Flemington R3 $161.30 trifecta (top 3.)

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Melbourne Cup Day
Tuesday,
4 November, 2008


We rated six races at Flemington and had Neroli which won starting at $6.00 on top. However our ratings missed the $46.50 Cup winner, Viewed, and winners in other typically wide open Cup Day races with odds available of $37.70, $17.00 and $17.00.

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Derby Day
Saturday, 1
November, 2008


We rated 15 races. There were three winners on top and eight winners in the top three.

For most punters the Flemington Derby Day races were horrible, with a $100.00 winner of the Derby and other results that could not be found using any sort of form analysis.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Doonbah Star $4.60 at Doomben.
Rubinda $4.30 at Rosehill.

Third rated winners:
Cuban Girl $9.00 offered some value at Morphettville in a field of just eight.

Trifectas/first fours:
Here are some that were found in the ratings.

Doomben R1 $2,429.10 first four (top selection winning, placegetters in the ratings.)
Rosehill R8 $65.70 trifecta (in rated order.)
Rosehill R8 $919.90 first four (top 3 in rated order, 4th. horse in the ratings.)

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Recent months:
Some big collects this month 31/10/2008
Top rated winners 35% strike rate this month 30/9/2008
43 top two winners this month 31/8/2008
Plenty of Winning Bets 31/7/2008

Value Winners 30/6/2008
Romping $18.90 top rated winner 31/5/2008
Ready To Lift $31.70 value winner 30/4/2008
Great $13.00 winners on top 31/3/2008
Wave The Dollar - $19.50 winner on top 29/2/2008
Plenty of January winning bets 31/1/2008
More great winners on top 31/12/2007
Distant Melody - $49.90 winner! 30/11/2007
Another $13.00 winner on top 31/10/2007
Big winners! More winners! Big winners! 30/9/2007


Please note:
We also provide guidelines to new members on using our betting information for first fours and trifecta betting.

In our newsletters here we have at times indicated how some first fours and trifectas could have been obtained. However on racedays some judgement and skill are needed for this.

For example the same betting method will not work each race, such as boxing selections, or taking the top horse as a standout to win. Some races will also need to be avoided because the odds are not there.

Even with good information playing trifectas and first fours is not a licence to print money. Intelligent use of the information and a lot of discipline is required.

While there can be substantial collects for relatively small outlays there can also be long runs of outs with various betting methods used.


OZmium Pty. Ltd.

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