28/8/2010 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Saturday, 7th. August, 2010.

Randwick: Track Slow.

R1 $70,000 3YO & UP. Rating 90. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Daytona Beach
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $3.30
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Hidden Wonder
Starting price: $4.40
Top fluctuation: $4.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.20
Jockey: Blake Spriggs
Trainer: Kris Lees

R6 $125,000 3YO. Group 3. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Solar Charged
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $1.85
Jockey: Corey Brown
Trainer: John O'Shea
Winner: Obsequious
Starting price: $9.00
Top fluctuation: $11.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $9.50
Jockey: Tim Clark
Trainer: Peter Snowden

Flemington: Track Slow.

R1 $75,000 3YO. Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1410 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Trisara
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $3.50
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Tony Vasil
Winner: Lorna's Lass
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $8.70
Jockey: Chris Symons
Trainer: John McArdle

Morphettville: Track Dead.

R1 $32,000 3YO. Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Equal Favourite: Hollowlea
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.30
Jockey: Chad Lever
Trainer: Terry & Karina O'Sullivan
Equal Favourite: Little Akie
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $3.20
Jockey: Justin Potter
Trainer: Brian Mueller

R2 $50,000 Grand National Steeplechase. Handicap.
Distance: 3500 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: July
Result: Fell.
Starting price: $2.00
Jockey: Steven Pateman
Trainer: Ciaron Maher
Winner: Nuvolari
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $8.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $9.90
Jockey: Trent Wells
Trainer: Michael Trinder

R4 $50,000 Grand National Hurdle. Handicap.
Distance: 3500 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Man Of Class
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.60
Top fluctuation: $1.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.60
Jockey: Steven Pateman
Trainer: Ciaron Maher

This edition of Punt to Win:
Following Horse Racing Media Tipsters' Betting Advice & Betting Tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Wide Barrier horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Free sports betting package
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 21/8/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 14/8/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 7/8/2010
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 21/8/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 14/8/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/8/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 7/8/2010
Punt to Win index

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