Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

29/8/2009 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Saturday, 22nd. August, 2009.

Randwick: Track Dead

R1 $70,000 3YO & up. Rating 91. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Strike One
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.90
Jockey: Jeff Penza
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Streetfighter
Starting price: $7.50
Top fluctuation: $9.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $6.90
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Terry Mathric


Moonee Valley: Track Good

R1 $100,000 3YO. Fillies. Listed. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Black Caviar
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $1.20
Top fluctuation: $1.22
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.10
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody


Morphettville: Track Good

R1 $26,500 3YO. 2MW. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Miss With Attitude
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $1.70
Jockey: Clare Lindop
Trainer: Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas
Winner: Candle
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.00
Jockey: Kate Dyson
Trainer: David Hayes

R2 $22,500 3YO and up. Steeple. Handicap.
Distance: 3500 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Wheel The Lead
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $1.70
Jockey: Robert Colgan
Trainer: Eric Musgrove
Winner: Intacto
Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.50
Jockey: Andrew Lynch
Trainer: Eric Musgrove

R4 $22,500 3YO and up. Hurdle. Handicap.
Distance: 3100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Tradesman's Choice
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.90
Jockey: Robert Colgan
Trainer: Gordon Richard
Winner: Morsonique
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $4.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $6.20
Jockey: Adam Trinder
Trainer: Michael Trinder

R5 $41,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Li'l Cashy
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.50
Jockey: Claudia Lions
Trainer: David Balfour
Winner: Likable Will
Starting price: $8.50
Top fluctuation: $8.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $10.90
Jockey: Adrian Patterson
Trainer: Darren Kolpin

This edition of Punt to Win:
Ten Golden Horse Racing Betting Tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Spring Carnival Winners Leading Jockey horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 22/8/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 15/8/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 8/8/2009
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 22/8/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: 15/8/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: 8/8/2009
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 8/8/2009
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.