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28/2/2009 edition

$2,558.20 Box Four First Four

Saturday, 28 February, 2009 - Futurity Stakes Day

We rated 19 races. There were six winners on top and 13 winners in the top two with some solid value.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Full Plate Bard $5.40 at Morphettville.
Road To Rock $3.80 at Caulfield.
Kings Artist $3.80 at Eagle Farm

Second rated winners:
Red Flair $7.50 at Caulfield.
Northern Point $5.30 at Caulfield
Neroli $5.30 at Rosehill
Time Matters $5.20 at Caulfield
Mic Mac $5.20 at Rosehill

Trifectas/first fours:
Not much value here here despite plenty available from the ratings.
Rosehill R9 $370.90 first four (top 4.)
Rosehill R9 $143.80 trifecta (top 4.)

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Saturday,
21 February, 2009 - Blue Diamond Stakes Day


We rated 18 races. There were four winners on top and 11 winners in the top two with some excellent value winners.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Time Matters $7.20 at Caulfield.
Madame Pedrille $8.00 at Rosehill.
O'lonhro $5.50 at Rosehill.
Vision And Power $4.90 at Rosehill.
Despite the Heavy track, the ratings held up quite well at Rosehill, which was rated for a Slow track.

Second rated winners:
Symphony Miss $9.50 at Caulfield.
Damselfly $5.50 at Caulfield

Longshots:
Some members looking for value in the ratings used them to back the Blue Diamond Stakes winner at Caulfield, Reward For Effort, $22.00.

Trifectas/first fours:
Here are a few from the ratings.
Rosehill R6 $2,558.20 first four (top selection winning, 2nd.-4th. in the ratings.)
Caulfield R9 $668.00 trifecta (top two rated horses finished in the top two, 3rd. in the ratings.)
Cheltenham R4 $372.40 first four (top 4.)

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Saturday, 14 February, 2009

We rated 15 races. There were two winners on top, eight winners in the top two and 11 winners in the top three. However, due to a large number of scratchings and small fields there was not much value around. In addition the Eagle Farm track was downgraded to a Heavy 9.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Second rated winners:
Centurytwentyone $4.60 at Moonee Valley.

Other winners:
Some members looking for value might have backed $10.00 winner Mr Ubiquitous in a field of 7 at Randwick. They might also have considered Sam's Express, $6.00 and Vocalic, $5.20, both winners in fields of 7 at Eagle Farm.

Trifectas/first fours:
With large numbers of scratchings affecting the ratings plus numerous small fields it was not really an ideal day to be looking for many trifectas or first fours. The value is usually destroyed in small fields.

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Saturday, 7 February, 2009

We rated 13 races. There were four winners on top and six winners in the top two.

Here is a brief summary of information for Saturday, 7th. February and the big Caulfield meeting on the 8th. February.

Here are the value winners with bookmaker/tote odds available:

Top rated winners:
Dance Girl Dance $6.00 at Doomben.
Nicconi $4.10 at Caulfield.

Second rated winners:
Bell Academy $9.00 at Doomben.
Centennial Park $5.70 at Rosehill.

Other winners:
Some members looking for value might have backed $8.80 winner Hadaaf to beat the short priced favourites in a field of 7 at Rosehill.

Trifectas/first fours:
There were plenty found in the ratings, but most were poor value.
Doomben R7 $336.10 trifecta (top rated won, 2nd. - 3rd. in ratings.)
Doomben R7 $1,845.30 first four (top rated won, 2nd. - 4th. in ratings.)

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Recent months:
Value bettors snare some nice wins 31/1/2009
Quiet end to the year 31/12/2008
Selective punters' value 30/11/2008
Some big collects this month 31/10/2008
Top rated winners 35% strike rate this month 30/9/2008

43 top two winners this month 31/8/2008
Plenty of Winning Bets 31/7/2008

Value Winners 30/6/2008
Romping $18.90 top rated winner 31/5/2008
Ready To Lift $31.70 value winner 30/4/2008
Great $13.00 winners on top 31/3/2008
Wave The Dollar - $19.50 winner on top 29/2/2008
Plenty of January winning bets 31/1/2008
More great winners on top 31/12/2007
Distant Melody - $49.90 winner! 30/11/2007
Another $13.00 winner on top 31/10/2007
Big winners! More winners! Big winners! 30/9/2007


Please note:
We also provide guidelines to new members on using our betting information for first fours and trifecta betting.

In our newsletters here we have at times indicated how some first fours and trifectas could have been obtained. However on racedays some judgement and skill are needed for this.

For example the same betting method will not work each race, such as boxing selections, or taking the top horse as a standout to win. Some races will also need to be avoided because the odds are not there.

Even with good information playing trifectas and first fours is not a licence to print money. Intelligent use of the information and a lot of discipline is required.

While there can be substantial collects for relatively small outlays there can also be long runs of outs with various betting methods used.


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