Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

30/1/2010 edition

Win Betting
Horse Racing Favourites

Do horse racing favourites win when the money is on? Do favourites lose when they ease in the betting? Are favourites more successful over longer distances than 1000 metres? Do favourites lose on wet tracks? Do favourites lose when first up from a spell? Are horse racing favourites worse bets in large fields?

These questions and more will be answered on a regular basis as we update the results of horse racing favourites on a regular basis.

We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Melbourne. These results over the long term should be comparable with results of Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide races on Saturdays.

Here are the results from the Sandown Lakeside horse racing meeting held on Saturday, 23rd. January, 2010.

Sandown Lakeside
Track: Dead.
Rail: Out 3 metres.
Penetrometer: 5.34

R1 $70,000 3YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Tan Tat Tess
Days since last start: 7
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 4-6
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

R2 $70,000 2YO. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 11
Favourite: Storm Burst
Days since last start: First race start
Distance last start: ---
Result last start: ---
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

R3 $70,000 3YO. Rating 72. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: At The Heads
Days since last start: 15
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 2-9
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Danny O'Brien

R4 $70,000 Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: Miss Matari
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 3-11
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $1.90
Top fluctuation: $2.05
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Jason Maskiell
Trainer: Kevin Milham

R5 $70,000 Rating 89. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 10
Favourite: Good Medicine
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 1600
Result last start: 3-6
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $3.50
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

R6 $70,000 Rating 82. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 12
Favourite: Esprit De Bullet
Days since last start: 26
Distance last start: 1100
Result last start: 1-11
Result this start: 7th.

Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Craig Newitt
Trainer: Mark Lewis

R7 $70,000 Rating 89. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 11
Favourite: Rathsallagh
Days since last start: 13
Distance last start: 2100
Result last start: 1-12
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctuation: $2.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

R8 $70,000 Rating 82. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 15
Favourite: Bertonic
Days since last start: 17
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 4-10
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctuation: $3.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.90
Jockey: Luke Nolen
Trainer: Peter G. Moody

Comments:
It was yet again another profitable meeting for favourites punters with three winners at bookmaker top fluctuation odds of $3.80, $3.50 and $2.50, though favourites' punters had to wait until the two last races of the meeting to "get out." The trainer/jockey combination of Peter G. Moody and Luke Nolen had four of the eight favourites - in races 1, 2, 5 and 8. Punters must have been cursing them until R8. Two of the three winning favourites were placed at their previous start with Bertonic in R8 having run fourth.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Unraced horses often mean bad betting races
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Pre Post Market horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 23/1/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 16/1/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 9/1/2010
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 23/1/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 16/1/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 9/1/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 9/1/2010
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.